Both San Diego and Orange counties continue to count mail and provisional ballots. As of June 11, over 153,000 total votes have been counted. Here are the updated totals:
Wednesday morning: With 100% of precincts reporting, the shape of the race is defined (even with many ballots left to count)
Bottom Line: It's Harkey vs. Levin in November
100% of precincts have reported. There are still many, many ballots to count (provisional ballots and mail ballots dropped into mailboxes on Monday or Tuesday). With that said, it's unlikely that the shape of this race will change much. Unless something really dramatic happens with provisional and mail ballots, it's Harkey vs. Levin in the November general election.
Here's how we netted out: Harkey 25.5%, Levin 17.1%, Jacobs 15.5%, Applegate 13.2%, Gaspar 8.7%, Chavez 7.8%, and Kerr 4.8% (the rest were in the low single digits).
In San Diego County, Jacobs actually beat Levin 16.6% to 16.4% (but Levin won Orange County by a lot, taking 19.4% of the vote there). Doug was stronger in San Diego as well, with 14.9% there compared to 7.9% in Orange County.
The percentages will move around a bit as the rest of the ballots are counted. We'll update later this week with final totals (or sooner if something surprising happens and the order of candidates changes at all)
Results from the New York Times below:
Here are the San Diego County totals from the California Secretary of State:
NYT vote count update (top slot now called for Harkey). Levin is holding over 17% with 63% of precincts reporting. There's some chance Sara may stage a late surge... but it's looking a lot like Harkey/Levin in November.
The good news is that we didn't get locked out of CA49. Democrats also landed a candidate in the top two in CA39, CA48, and CA50, all very important districts that were in danger of lock-outs. So Democrats will be on the ballot in all of these key districts in November. That's a big step towards re-taking the House.
In our little district, it turns out that all three Democrats in the pack behind Harkey were viable in the end (and were fine strategic voting choices). Kristin Gaspar and Rocky Chavez trailed far behind in the single digits.
We'll post another update in the morning... and if Sara does catch Mike with a photo-finish, we'll update over the next few days as the provisional ballots and last minute mail ballots get counted.
Harkey 25.4%, Levin 17.2%, Jacobs 15%, Applegate 12.9%
49% of precincts reporting
Full candidate list below (Source NYT)
Harkey 24.7%, Levin 17%, Jacobs 15.4%, Applegate 13.3%
38.8% of precincts reporting
San Diego County and State totals below
Vote count update as of 10p: Harkey 24.5%, Levin 16.7%, Jacobs 15.3%, Applegate 13.3%
San Diego County and State totals below
COLONEL APPLEGATE IS AHEAD IN THE POLLS
He is the key to avoiding a Democratic shut-out in November
Doug Applegate is the top Democrat in the race to replace Issa in CA-49. Doug has been the Democratic front-runner in all but one of the most reputable polls, and there have been seven of them between February and late May.
He's our best shot at getting a Democrat through this vicious jungle primary where four Democrats are splitting the vote. He is also the best candidate for the November election. Remember that Applegate came within 1,621 votes of beating Issa in 2016, a feat which was considered impossible because Issa was thought to be invulnerable.
The stakes are high. The top two vote-getters in this June election will be going onto the final ballot in November regardless of party. The odds that Democrats could get shut out are still frighteningly high. Republicans could claim the top two spots.
This primary could decide the November election before it even happens.
How do you avoid this grim fate? By voting for the Democratic front-runner: Doug Applegate.
DOUG APPLEGATE IS WITH US ON THE ISSUES
DOUG APPLEGATE IS A MAN OF PRINCIPLE
"He won't always do the easy thing, but he will do the right thing"
Voices of the 49th is committed to making sure that voters in the 49th congressional district have a meaningful choice in November... which means engaging, educating, informing, and influencing voters through the jungle primary in June so that a Democrat makes it on to the final ballot.