SurveyUSA Election Poll for the 49th District Shows Clear and Present Danger in Primary (Data collected 2/10-2/13)

Results from a SurveyUSA poll taken in mid-February have been making the rounds lately. Sponsored by KGTV-TV and the San Diego Union-Tribune, the poll surveyed 510 likely voters in the 49th District.

The results have Doug Applegate (D) ahead at 18% followed by Rocky Chavez (R) at 17%.

​The rest of the pack includes Diane Harkey (R) at 10%, Mike Levin (D) at 8%, Kristin Gaspar (R) at 7%, Sara Jacobs (D) at 5%, Brian Maryott (R) at 2%, Joshua Schoonover (R) at 2%, Paul Kerr (D) at 1%, and Christina Prejean (D) at 1%.

Of the total number of respondents, 37% were Republican, 32% were Democrats, and 30% were independents.

Some other interesting nuggets from the poll:
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• Top issues reported by supporters of Rocky Chavez and Kristin Gaspar include the economy, the border wall (which may be shorthand for immigration issues), and taxes. Harkey supporters care most about the wall, the economy, and taxes. 

 

• Top issues reported by supporters of Doug Applegate include President Trump, repealing/changing the new tax law, and the DREAM Act. Levin supporters cared most about health care and President Trump. 

 

• 5% of those who said they voted for Darrell Issa (R) in the 2016 election are supporting Applegate this time around. On the other hand, 5% of 2016 Applegate voters are now supporting Rocky Chavez. 16% of 2016 Applegate voters are supporting Levin.

 

• 4% of those who said they voted for Hillary Clinton (D) in the 2016 election are now supporting Rocky Chavez. 3% of 2016 Trump voters support Applegate. 

 

• Applegate leads among Independents with 19%, followed by Chavez with 11%, Gaspar with 8%, Harkey with 7%, and Levin with 6%.

 

• Applegate has 33% of the Democrats to Levin's 19%, followed by Sara Jacobs (10%) and Rocky Chavez (6%).

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• Chavez scores 31% of Republicans to Harkey's 20%, with Gaspar next at 13%, Brian Maryott at 5%, and Doug Applegate at 5%.​